On March 10, 2023, market observers are discussing the troubles Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) faces, as the firm’s stock slid more than 60% in the last 24 hours. SVB was forced to sell a $21 billion bond portfolio at a $1.8 billion loss. CEO Greg Becker insists that the financial institution “will be well positioned” and is “well capitalized” going forward. SVB’s stock, SIVB, was halted during the premarket trading session on Friday after the bank announced it would release news.
As SVB’s Foundations Shake, Concerns Grow Over a Potential Bailout and Market Instability
Market strategists and investors are focused on Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and US financial institutions as a whole following the voluntary liquidation of Silvergate Bank. SVB is dealing with significant financial woes after the company’s stock, SIVB, shed more than 60% during Thursday’s trading session. SVB is well-known for its portfolio of tech and venture capital deals, but venture capital activity has slid. 30% lower over the last 12 months. SVB customers spending funds at a rapid pace has made it so SVB’s cash burn is much higher than venture investing.
Then SVB revealed it was selling its available-for-sale (AFS) bond portfolio for $21 billion, and the bank lost a total of $1.8 billion from the sale. “We are taking these actions because we expect continued higher interest rates, pressured public and private markets, and elevated cash burn levels from our clients,” SVB CEO Greg Becker said in a statement. “When we see a return to balance between venture investment and cash burn, we will be well-positioned to accelerate growth and profitability.”
Silicon Valley bank has been halted.
Down 80% in two days now 35. pic.twitter.com/lvZjMUHxzE
— TIC TOC TIC (@TicTocTick) March 10, 2023
It’s been said that SVB made some horrible investment decisions prior to the interest rate hikes, and the bank’s $21 billion bond portfolio was not yielding above cash burn, and the AFS bond’s value depleted significantly. Because SVB invested in government-backed debt products like US Treasury bills, the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes put the bank in a bad position, and SVB deposits started to dwindle at a fast pace. Some people believe that if SVB crashes, the failure could be nearly as big as the Washington Mutual (Wamu) bankruptcy.
Good Morning Everyone! Silicon Valley Bank is getting worse. Customers trying to pull millions of dollars out and can’t. Online banking and mobile services showing unavailable for some customers.
Stock down 60% pre-market.
If the bank fails, it would be the second largest… https://t.co/dCnew8tzAP pic.twitter.com/h7YcocnvZX
— Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) March 10, 2023
Bitmex co-founder Arthur Hayes jokingly said Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell may have broken the US banking system. “JAYPOW might have broken [the] US banking system,” Hayes wrote. “In 2008 it was banks’ portfolios of bad credit – aka subprime. In 2023, it was banks’ portfolios of long duration bonds like UST and MBS??? If it goes down, then remember Mar ’20, big down, bailout, then big up! My body is ready.” Billionaire Bill Ackman told his Twitter followers that a government bailout for SVB should be considered.
“The failure of [SVB] could destroy an important long-term driver of the economy as VC-backed companies rely on SVB for loans and holding their operating cash,” Ackman. wrote. “If private capital can’t provide a solution, a highly dilutive gov’t preferred bailout should be considered. After what the Feds did to [JPMorgan] after it bailed out Bear Stearns, I don’t see another bank stepping in to help. [SVB].”
According to a pre-market analysis of SIVB sharesit looks as though the bank’s stock was in for a very volatile trading day on Friday and was eventually halted. After the premarket halt, the bank said that it plans to release some news shortly. SVB’s woes are reminding market participants of the Lehman disaster and the recent issues Credit Suisse and Deutsche Bank were dealing with when valuations were distressed last October.
Just recently, S&P lowered the rating on SVB to just above a junk rating. Analysts at DA Davidson gave the company a neutral rating, noting that firms have “not adjusted to the slower fundraising environment” and quantitative tightening (QT) policies stemming from the Fed. According to CNBC’s David Faber, sources have told the reporter that Silicon Valley Bank is currently in talks to sell itself.
What do you think the future holds for Silicon Valley Bank and other US financial institutions facing similar challenges, and what impact could their struggles have on the broader economy and the tech industry? Share your thoughts in the comments below.
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